Here we go again. Last winter, the model had to correct itself by a whopping 11.6 points with Jablonec. Then, after the overperforming team actually improved its underlying numbers and point pace in the spring, Jablonec received a 48-point projection worthy of another Top 5 spot. So of course they proceeded to up the ante further, warranting yet another winter forecast glow-up — and hardly insignificant at that — while jumping ahead of Plzeň both in the real and model’s standings. Is it time to start ignoring the xG Gods?